Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 2.861399 3.156936 3.475836 3.846489 4.266646 4.729517 5.279918
2025-07-13 2.439010 2.837507 3.296509 3.867946 4.565334 5.395234 6.467251
2025-07-20 2.194107 2.654026 3.210088 3.939443 4.882096 6.074904 7.723692
2025-07-27 2.023803 2.525861 3.157184 4.021651 5.194032 6.757617 9.051073
2025-08-03 1.880483 2.409211 3.096424 4.072641 5.453045 7.381501 10.365448
2025-08-10 1.754152 2.298545 3.026671 4.094879 5.662483 7.946091 11.657476
2025-08-17 1.602264 2.138052 2.871524 3.976402 5.648551 8.171756 12.448389
2025-08-24 1.491747 2.024703 2.770398 3.922187 5.717520 8.520612 13.471878
2025-08-31 1.404979 1.937529 2.698112 3.901159 5.830144 8.943142 14.669608
2025-09-07 1.363895 1.912570 2.713333 4.012377 6.159511 9.751359 16.661423
2025-09-14 1.294500 1.840345 2.651330 3.994919 6.273023 10.202035 18.058160
2025-09-21 1.226790 1.765938 2.580104 3.955232 6.342430 10.578611 19.364016
2025-09-28 1.128184 1.639872 2.422480 3.764565 6.138426 10.448207 19.654743
2025-10-05 1.083893 1.595627 2.391471 3.783880 6.308719 11.034904 21.544294
2025-10-12 1.053589 1.571277 2.390281 3.853189 6.575454 11.837940 24.052499
2025-10-19 1.027590 1.551952 2.395476 3.933143 6.868892 12.730080 26.940439
2025-10-26 0.997762 1.524408 2.384706 3.982753 7.107722 13.539361 29.797207
2025-11-02 0.965116 1.490202 2.360119 4.004390 7.292260 14.255546 32.572032
2025-11-09 0.911681 1.418350 2.266255 3.889096 7.186905 14.318560 33.637523
2025-11-16 0.872332 1.368361 2.207673 3.836331 7.205600 14.663335 35.546042
2025-11-23 0.840731 1.330038 2.167469 3.815864 7.290177 15.171180 38.031842
2025-11-30 0.830546 1.328121 2.192116 3.924106 7.663218 16.418907 43.024357
2025-12-07 0.802624 1.293708 2.155628 3.907117 7.757020 16.992004 46.073775